The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU beat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take a spot in the race more than .
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs, into making decisions that were several last week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the offensive launching in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That includes the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in with the roar of all Death Valley awaiting. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 grading defense keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and likewise win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the best receiving teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some big games. Chase is a presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the roughest DB unit they have played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say they have yet to play with a QB of all the caliber of Burrow florida sits in 33rd. Theyve played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but nevertheless has a large ceiling for a cover man.
Burrow will confront a, which will be completely healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing line while his consciousness have to improve from the pocket. Auburns is the very finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in sack speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He sprained a knee in the match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With all the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most often regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Would likely soon be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who enabled the least amount of downs. Though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be a force if given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game this season going yet. A tackle broke at the line on his approach last weekend. Despite that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front might not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky match.
Should they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently, it places ways too much stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world after last week. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win from LSU, I do see this sport staying many.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or something close to that against a defense who is proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has completely evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will work out with time, as they much too much to alter the wave in games have been relied on by the group. Marco Wilson will be the subject from the Chase or Jefferson into some PIs.
But I do not expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in a lot of a slog till then makes Florida the suitable wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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